Influence of Extreme Climate Events on Tea Production: A Case Study in Baoshan, Yunnan, China

李少娟 副教授
云南财经大学

3号楼1218会议室
2020年1月16日（星期四）10:00

Abstract

The regional economy in Yunnan of southwestern China relies heavily on tea production. Both the quality and amount of tea production are sensitive to extreme climate events, but exactly how extreme events influence tea production remains unknown. Based on observational daily maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures and daily precipitation covering the period 1960-2018 in 5 meteorological stations in the Baoshan region of Yunnan, this study examines the dynamic responses of tea production indices to extreme high temperature events (EHT), extreme low temperature events (ELT), and extreme precipitation events (EPE). This is achieved by using Structural Vector Auto Regression (SVAR) models based on annual tea production, raw tea price, labour number of tea production, GDP and 18 extreme climate indices.